LAST UPDATED: 8:00 AM EST, February 18 2022
NEXT UPDATE: 9:00 AM EST, February 18 2022
***THIS STORM WATCH PAGE IS NOW ARCHIVED. A WEATHER SUMMARY WILL BE AVAILABLE ONCE DATA IS COLLECTED. FOR UPDATED INFORMATION, PLEASE VISIT OUR WEATHER PAGE.***
Discussion
The winter storm will move into Southern Ontario early Thursday morning. The precipitation will begin as rain and will continue for a few hours.
Near noon, temperatures will begin to fall across the region, which will force the rain to transition to freezing rain for Southwestern Ontario. Late in the evening, the precipitation will change to snow, which will be heavy at times. Snowfall rates may near 4 cm per hour.
Road conditions will deteriorate on Thursday night with the falling snow in addition to strong wind gusts, which will create blowing and drifting snow. The Friday morning commute will also be affected as the wind gusts will remain strong.
Rainfall Outlook
Area Breakdown
5 to 10 mm: Renfrew, Barry's Bay
10 to 20 mm: Ottawa, Cornwall, Midland, Barrie, Oshawa, Toronto, Oakville
20 to 30 mm: Windsor, Chatham, Sarnia, London, Simcoe, Niagara Falls, Kitchener, Hamilton, Kincardine, Goderich, Tobermory, Orangeville, Belleville, Kingston, Brockville, Bancroft, Huntsville, Parry Sound
Wind Outlook
Area Breakdown
80 to 90 km/h: Ottawa, Brockville, Huntsville, Parry Sound
90 to 100 km/h: Windsor, Chatham, Sarnia, London, Goderich, Tobermory, Orangeville, Barrie, Niagara Falls, Hamilton, Toronto, Oshawa, Belleville, Kingston
Freezing Rain Outlook
Area Breakdown
Trace to 2 mm: Windsor, Amherstburg, Goderich, Kitchener, Brantford, Simcoe
2 to 4 mm: Tilbury, Leamington, Woodstock
4 to 6 mm: Chatham, Sarnia, London, St. Thomas
Snowfall Outlook
Area Breakdown
5 to 10 cm: Tobermory, Parry Sound, Huntsville, Barry's Bay
10 to 15 cm: Goderich, Kincardine, Port Elgin, Owen Sound, Bracebridge
15 to 20 cm: Seaforth, Listowel, Orangeville, Barrie, Collingwood, Midland, Orillia, Bancroft, Renfrew, Prince Edward County
20 to 25 cm: Windsor, Chatham, Sarnia, London, Brantford, Kitchener, St. Catharines, Toronto, Oshawa, Newmarket, Peterborough, Belleville, Kingston, Brockville, Cornwall, Ottawa
* Lake enhancement is possible along Lake Ontario including Hamilton, Oakville and St. Catharines. 25+ cm is possible in these areas.